13 April 2016 | John Cook, Naomi Oreskes, Peter T. Doran, William R.L. Anderegg, Bart Verheggen, Ed W. Maibach, J. Stuart Carlton, Stephan Lewandowsky, Andrew G. Skuce, Sarah A. Green, Dana Nuccitelli, Peter Jacobs, Mark Richardson, Bärbel Winkler, Rob Painting, and Ken Rice
The article "Consensus on Consensus: A Synthesis of Consensus Estimates on Human-Caused Global Warming" by John Cook, Naomi Oreskes, Peter T. Doran, William R.L. Anderegg, and Bart Verheggen, among others, synthesizes multiple studies to demonstrate the overwhelming scientific consensus that humans are causing recent global warming. The authors review six independent studies, each reporting a consensus of 90% to 100% among publishing climate scientists. These studies are consistent with a 97% consensus reported by Cook et al. (2013) based on an analysis of 11,944 abstracts of research papers. The authors also surveyed the authors of those papers, who reported a 97% consensus. The article addresses criticisms from Richard Tol, who used different methodologies and assumptions to arrive at lower consensus estimates. Tol's conclusions are criticized for conflating non-expert and expert views and making unsupported assumptions. The authors conclude that the scientific consensus on human-caused global warming is robust and supported by multiple independent studies, emphasizing the importance of communicating this consensus to the public to enhance climate literacy and policy support.The article "Consensus on Consensus: A Synthesis of Consensus Estimates on Human-Caused Global Warming" by John Cook, Naomi Oreskes, Peter T. Doran, William R.L. Anderegg, and Bart Verheggen, among others, synthesizes multiple studies to demonstrate the overwhelming scientific consensus that humans are causing recent global warming. The authors review six independent studies, each reporting a consensus of 90% to 100% among publishing climate scientists. These studies are consistent with a 97% consensus reported by Cook et al. (2013) based on an analysis of 11,944 abstracts of research papers. The authors also surveyed the authors of those papers, who reported a 97% consensus. The article addresses criticisms from Richard Tol, who used different methodologies and assumptions to arrive at lower consensus estimates. Tol's conclusions are criticized for conflating non-expert and expert views and making unsupported assumptions. The authors conclude that the scientific consensus on human-caused global warming is robust and supported by multiple independent studies, emphasizing the importance of communicating this consensus to the public to enhance climate literacy and policy support.