13 May 2021 | Erik Volz, Swapnil Mishra, Meera Chand, Jeffrey C. Barrett, Robert Johnson, Lily Geidelberg, Wes R. Hinsley, Daniel J. Laydon, Gavin Dabrera, Aine O'Toole, Robert Amato, Manon Ragone-Cronin, Ian Harrison, Ben Jackson, Cristina V. Ariani, Olivia Boyd, Nicholas J. Loman, John T. McCrone, Sonia Goncalves, David Jorgensen, Richard Myers, Verity Hill, David K. Jackson, Katy Gaythorpe, Natalie Groves, John Sillitoe, Dominic P. Kwiatkowski, The COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) consortium, Seth Flaxman, Oliver Ratmann, Samir Bhatt, Susan Hopkins, Axel Gandy, Andrew Rambaut & Neil M. Ferguson
A study published in Nature (DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-03470-x) assesses the transmissibility of the SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7, designated as a variant of concern (VOC) 202012/01 by Public Health England. The research combines genetic data with diagnostic test results to show that B.1.1.7 has a higher reproduction number (R) than other lineages, with estimates ranging from 50% to 100% higher. The study uses data from community-based diagnostic testing and genomic surveillance to track the spread of B.1.1.7 across England, revealing its rapid expansion during autumn 2020. The variant's increased transmissibility is attributed to several mutations, including N501Y and P618H, which enhance viral binding and replication. The study also finds that B.1.1.7 has a higher proportion of cases among younger individuals, suggesting a different transmission pattern. Analysis of S gene target failure (SGTF) data shows a strong correlation with the spread of B.1.1.7, indicating that the variant is more likely to be detected through diagnostic tests. The study estimates that B.1.1.7 reached 50% frequency within 2.5 to 3 months after its emergence in England. The research also highlights the importance of genomic surveillance in identifying and monitoring variants, and emphasizes the need for continued global surveillance to control the spread of emerging variants. The study was conducted by a consortium of researchers from various institutions in the UK and internationally.A study published in Nature (DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-03470-x) assesses the transmissibility of the SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7, designated as a variant of concern (VOC) 202012/01 by Public Health England. The research combines genetic data with diagnostic test results to show that B.1.1.7 has a higher reproduction number (R) than other lineages, with estimates ranging from 50% to 100% higher. The study uses data from community-based diagnostic testing and genomic surveillance to track the spread of B.1.1.7 across England, revealing its rapid expansion during autumn 2020. The variant's increased transmissibility is attributed to several mutations, including N501Y and P618H, which enhance viral binding and replication. The study also finds that B.1.1.7 has a higher proportion of cases among younger individuals, suggesting a different transmission pattern. Analysis of S gene target failure (SGTF) data shows a strong correlation with the spread of B.1.1.7, indicating that the variant is more likely to be detected through diagnostic tests. The study estimates that B.1.1.7 reached 50% frequency within 2.5 to 3 months after its emergence in England. The research also highlights the importance of genomic surveillance in identifying and monitoring variants, and emphasizes the need for continued global surveillance to control the spread of emerging variants. The study was conducted by a consortium of researchers from various institutions in the UK and internationally.