CEO OVERCONFIDENCE AND CORPORATE INVESTMENT

CEO OVERCONFIDENCE AND CORPORATE INVESTMENT

September 2004 | Ulrike Malmendier Geoffrey Tate
The paper by Ulrike Malmendier and Geoffrey Tate explores the impact of managerial overconfidence on corporate investment decisions. They argue that overconfident managers tend to overestimate the returns of their investment projects and view external funds as costly, leading to overinvestment when they have abundant internal funds but curtail investment when they need external financing. The authors test this hypothesis using panel data on personal portfolio and corporate investment decisions of Forbes 500 CEOs. They classify CEOs as overconfident if they persistently fail to reduce their personal exposure to company-specific risk. The study finds that overconfident CEOs are significantly more responsive to cash flow, particularly in equity-dependent firms. The authors also discuss alternative explanations for investment distortions, such as misaligned interests and asymmetric information, and conclude that overconfidence is a significant factor in explaining investment-cash flow sensitivity. The findings suggest that refined corporate governance structures, involving more active boards or constraints on internal fund usage, may be necessary to achieve optimal investment levels.The paper by Ulrike Malmendier and Geoffrey Tate explores the impact of managerial overconfidence on corporate investment decisions. They argue that overconfident managers tend to overestimate the returns of their investment projects and view external funds as costly, leading to overinvestment when they have abundant internal funds but curtail investment when they need external financing. The authors test this hypothesis using panel data on personal portfolio and corporate investment decisions of Forbes 500 CEOs. They classify CEOs as overconfident if they persistently fail to reduce their personal exposure to company-specific risk. The study finds that overconfident CEOs are significantly more responsive to cash flow, particularly in equity-dependent firms. The authors also discuss alternative explanations for investment distortions, such as misaligned interests and asymmetric information, and conclude that overconfidence is a significant factor in explaining investment-cash flow sensitivity. The findings suggest that refined corporate governance structures, involving more active boards or constraints on internal fund usage, may be necessary to achieve optimal investment levels.
Reach us at info@study.space
Understanding CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Investment