October 2009 | Gerald C. Nelson, Mark W. Rosegrant, Jawoo Koo, Richard Robertson, Timothy Sulser, Tingju Zhu, Claudia Ringler, Siwa Msangi, Amanda Palazzo, Miroslav Batka, Marilia Magalhaes, Rowena Valmonte-Santos, Mandy Ewing, and David Lee
This document, titled "Climate Change Impact on Agriculture and Costs of Adaptation," is a comprehensive analysis conducted by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). The study, updated in October 2009, assesses the impacts of climate change on agriculture and the costs associated with adaptation measures. Key findings include:
1. **Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture:**
- Higher temperatures and changing precipitation patterns will reduce crop yields, particularly in developing regions like South Asia.
- Yields of important crops such as rice, wheat, maize, soybeans, and groundnuts are expected to decline, affecting food security and human well-being.
- Prices of agricultural products are likely to increase due to higher demand and reduced supply.
2. **Economic Consequences:**
- The negative impacts of climate change on agriculture will be more pronounced in developing countries, where a significant portion of the population relies on agriculture for their livelihood.
- The study estimates that additional annual investments of at least $7 billion are needed to offset the negative effects of climate change on human well-being, with Sub-Saharan Africa requiring the greatest investment.
3. **Policy Recommendations:**
- Design and implement good development policies and programs to support agricultural sustainability and food security.
- Increase investments in agricultural productivity, including research, rural infrastructure, and irrigation efficiency.
- Reinvigorate national research and extension programs to enhance local capacity and adaptability.
- Improve global data collection, dissemination, and analysis to better understand and address climate change impacts.
- Make agricultural adaptation a key agenda point in international climate negotiations.
- Recognize that enhanced food security and climate-change adaptation are interconnected.
- Support community-based adaptation strategies to help rural communities cope with climate change.
The study uses detailed modeling and global agricultural supply-and-demand projections to simulate future climate scenarios and assess their impacts on agriculture. It highlights the urgent need for action to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change on agriculture and human well-being.This document, titled "Climate Change Impact on Agriculture and Costs of Adaptation," is a comprehensive analysis conducted by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). The study, updated in October 2009, assesses the impacts of climate change on agriculture and the costs associated with adaptation measures. Key findings include:
1. **Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture:**
- Higher temperatures and changing precipitation patterns will reduce crop yields, particularly in developing regions like South Asia.
- Yields of important crops such as rice, wheat, maize, soybeans, and groundnuts are expected to decline, affecting food security and human well-being.
- Prices of agricultural products are likely to increase due to higher demand and reduced supply.
2. **Economic Consequences:**
- The negative impacts of climate change on agriculture will be more pronounced in developing countries, where a significant portion of the population relies on agriculture for their livelihood.
- The study estimates that additional annual investments of at least $7 billion are needed to offset the negative effects of climate change on human well-being, with Sub-Saharan Africa requiring the greatest investment.
3. **Policy Recommendations:**
- Design and implement good development policies and programs to support agricultural sustainability and food security.
- Increase investments in agricultural productivity, including research, rural infrastructure, and irrigation efficiency.
- Reinvigorate national research and extension programs to enhance local capacity and adaptability.
- Improve global data collection, dissemination, and analysis to better understand and address climate change impacts.
- Make agricultural adaptation a key agenda point in international climate negotiations.
- Recognize that enhanced food security and climate-change adaptation are interconnected.
- Support community-based adaptation strategies to help rural communities cope with climate change.
The study uses detailed modeling and global agricultural supply-and-demand projections to simulate future climate scenarios and assess their impacts on agriculture. It highlights the urgent need for action to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change on agriculture and human well-being.