Received: 31 January 2013 / Accepted: 20 June 2013 / Published online: 23 July 2013 | Daniela Jacob, Juliane Petersen, Bastian Eggert, Antoinette Alias, Ole Bossing Christensen, Laurens M. Bouwer, Alain Braun, Augustin Colette, Michel Déqué, Goran Georgievski, Elena Georgopoulou, Andreas Gobiet, Laurent Menut, Grigory Nikulin, Andreas Haensler, Nils Hempelmann, Colin Jones, Klaus Keuler, Sari Kovats, Nico Kröner, Sven Kotlarski, Arne Kriegsmann, Eric Martin, Erik van Meijgaard, Christopher Moseley, Susanne Pfeifer, Swantje Preuschemann, Christine Radermacher, Kai Radtke, Diana Reichid, Mark Rounsevell, Patrick Samuelsson, Samuel Somot, Jean-Francois Soussana, Claas Teichmann, Riccardo Valentini, Robert Vautard, Björn Weber, Pascal Yiou
The article presents the first set of high-resolution (12.5 km) regional climate change projections for Europe within the EURO-CORDEX initiative, focusing on the new emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. These projections are compared to the SRES A1B scenario results from the ENSEMBLES project. The study highlights the advantages of higher resolution in capturing detailed spatial patterns of temperature and precipitation changes, particularly in heavy precipitation events, dry spells, and heat waves. The results show significant warming and precipitation changes across Europe, with larger temperature increases in Southern Europe and greater warming in Northern Scandinavia, Eastern Europe, and the Alps under RCP8.5 compared to RCP4.5. The analysis also reveals that the definition of heat waves significantly influences the regional change patterns. The high-resolution data set will be continuously updated and made available to the community for future climate research, impact assessment, and adaptation.The article presents the first set of high-resolution (12.5 km) regional climate change projections for Europe within the EURO-CORDEX initiative, focusing on the new emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. These projections are compared to the SRES A1B scenario results from the ENSEMBLES project. The study highlights the advantages of higher resolution in capturing detailed spatial patterns of temperature and precipitation changes, particularly in heavy precipitation events, dry spells, and heat waves. The results show significant warming and precipitation changes across Europe, with larger temperature increases in Southern Europe and greater warming in Northern Scandinavia, Eastern Europe, and the Alps under RCP8.5 compared to RCP4.5. The analysis also reveals that the definition of heat waves significantly influences the regional change patterns. The high-resolution data set will be continuously updated and made available to the community for future climate research, impact assessment, and adaptation.