2014 | Daniela Jacob, Juliane Petersen, Bastian Eggert, Antoinette Alias, Ole Bøssing Christensen, Laurens M. Bouwer, Alain Braun, Augustin Colette, Michel Déqué, Goran Georgievski, Elena Georgopoulou, Andreas Gobiet, Laurent Menut, Grigory Nikulin, Andreas Haensler, Nils Hempelmann, Colin Jones, Klaus Keuler, Sari Kovats, Nico Kröner, Sven Kotlarski, Arne Kriegsmann, Eric van Meijgaard, Christopher Moseley, Susanne Pfeifer, Swantje Preuschmann, Christine Radermacher, Kai Radtke, Diana Reichid, Mark Rounsevell, Patrick Samuelsson, Samuel Somot, Jean-Francois Soussana, Claas Teichmann, Riccardo Valentini, Robert Vautard, Björn Weber, Pascal Yiou
The EURO-CORDEX initiative provides high-resolution climate change projections for Europe, using regional climate models (RCMs) with a horizontal resolution of 12.5 km. These projections are based on new emission scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, and compare with previous ENSEMBLES data. The results show similar large-scale patterns of temperature and precipitation changes across scenarios, but regional details differ, partly due to higher resolution. Temperature-based impact indices show larger changes under RCP8.5 than RCP4.5, while precipitation-based indices show less pronounced differences. Regional climate models provide higher daily precipitation intensities and a smoother shift in precipitation intensity patterns compared to global climate models. The study highlights the importance of high-resolution data for climate impact assessments and adaptation strategies. The EURO-CORDEX data set is a valuable resource for future climate research, impact assessment, and adaptation. The results strengthen previous findings from ENSEMBLES but require further investigation. The study also emphasizes the need for clear definitions of climate indices to ensure accurate interpretation of climate change impacts. The high-resolution data set will continue to grow and be made available to the scientific community.The EURO-CORDEX initiative provides high-resolution climate change projections for Europe, using regional climate models (RCMs) with a horizontal resolution of 12.5 km. These projections are based on new emission scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, and compare with previous ENSEMBLES data. The results show similar large-scale patterns of temperature and precipitation changes across scenarios, but regional details differ, partly due to higher resolution. Temperature-based impact indices show larger changes under RCP8.5 than RCP4.5, while precipitation-based indices show less pronounced differences. Regional climate models provide higher daily precipitation intensities and a smoother shift in precipitation intensity patterns compared to global climate models. The study highlights the importance of high-resolution data for climate impact assessments and adaptation strategies. The EURO-CORDEX data set is a valuable resource for future climate research, impact assessment, and adaptation. The results strengthen previous findings from ENSEMBLES but require further investigation. The study also emphasizes the need for clear definitions of climate indices to ensure accurate interpretation of climate change impacts. The high-resolution data set will continue to grow and be made available to the scientific community.