ESTIMATION OF DYNAMIC MODELS WITH ERROR COMPONENTS

ESTIMATION OF DYNAMIC MODELS WITH ERROR COMPONENTS

August 1980 | T.W. Anderson and Cheng Hsiao
This paper discusses the estimation of dynamic models with error components. The authors analyze different models based on assumptions about initial observations and examine the asymptotic properties of estimators. The paper considers various cases, including fixed initial observations, random initial observations with stationary distributions, random initial observations with different means, and random initial observations with a common mean. It also clarifies the relationship between pseudo and conditional maximum likelihood estimates and suggests simple consistent estimators that are independent of initial observation assumptions. The paper presents a model where the dependent variable is a function of explanatory variables and error components. The error components include individual-specific effects and time-specific effects. The authors examine the properties of maximum likelihood and covariance estimators under different assumptions about the initial observations. They find that when the number of cross-sectional units (N) tends to infinity, the covariance estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal. However, when the time dimension (T) tends to infinity, the covariance estimator is asymptotically equivalent to the maximum likelihood estimator. The paper also considers the case where explanatory variables include lagged dependent variables. In this case, the problem becomes more complex, and the consistency of the estimators depends on the assumptions about the initial observations. The authors conclude that the interpretation of the model and the asymptotic properties of the estimators depend on the assumptions about the initial observations. They suggest that the model should be interpreted in terms of the long-run equilibrium level of the dependent variable and that the initial observations should be treated as random draws from a population with mean zero and variance. The paper also discusses the implications of different assumptions about the initial observations on the estimation of the model.This paper discusses the estimation of dynamic models with error components. The authors analyze different models based on assumptions about initial observations and examine the asymptotic properties of estimators. The paper considers various cases, including fixed initial observations, random initial observations with stationary distributions, random initial observations with different means, and random initial observations with a common mean. It also clarifies the relationship between pseudo and conditional maximum likelihood estimates and suggests simple consistent estimators that are independent of initial observation assumptions. The paper presents a model where the dependent variable is a function of explanatory variables and error components. The error components include individual-specific effects and time-specific effects. The authors examine the properties of maximum likelihood and covariance estimators under different assumptions about the initial observations. They find that when the number of cross-sectional units (N) tends to infinity, the covariance estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal. However, when the time dimension (T) tends to infinity, the covariance estimator is asymptotically equivalent to the maximum likelihood estimator. The paper also considers the case where explanatory variables include lagged dependent variables. In this case, the problem becomes more complex, and the consistency of the estimators depends on the assumptions about the initial observations. The authors conclude that the interpretation of the model and the asymptotic properties of the estimators depend on the assumptions about the initial observations. They suggest that the model should be interpreted in terms of the long-run equilibrium level of the dependent variable and that the initial observations should be treated as random draws from a population with mean zero and variance. The paper also discusses the implications of different assumptions about the initial observations on the estimation of the model.
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