Evaluating Frontier Models for Dangerous Capabilities

Evaluating Frontier Models for Dangerous Capabilities

2024-4-8 | Mary Phuong*, Matthew Aitchison*, Elliot Catt*, Sarah Cogan*, Alexandre Kaskasoli*, Victoria Krakovna*, David Lindner*, Matthew Rahtz*, Yannis Assael, Sarah Hodgkinson, Heidi Howard, Tom Lieberum, Ramana Kumar, Maria Abi Raad, Albert Webson, Lewis Ho, Sharon Lin, Sebastian Farquhar, Marcus Hutter, Grégoire Delétang, Anian Ruoss, Seliem El-Sayed, Sasha Brown, Anca Dragan, Rohin Shah, Allan Dafoe and Toby Shevlane*
The paper introduces a comprehensive program of "dangerous capability" evaluations for frontier AI models, specifically targeting the Gemini 1.0 models. The evaluations cover four areas: persuasion and deception, cyber-security, self-proliferation, and self-reasoning. The goal is to advance a rigorous science of dangerous capability evaluation to help prepare for future models. 1. **Persuasion and Deception**: Evaluations involve human-AI dialogues to assess the agents' ability to influence beliefs and preferences. Pro 1.0 and Ultra 1.0 showed stronger capabilities compared to Nano 1.0, particularly in shifting participants' beliefs and manipulating them to click suspicious links or run code. 2. **Cyber-security**: Evaluations assess the agents' ability to execute cyberattacks and identify vulnerabilities. Pro 1.0 and Ultra 1.0 could solve basic CTF tasks but struggled with more complex, multi-step challenges, indicating limited autonomous attack capabilities. 3. **Self-proliferation**: Evaluations measure the agents' ability to autonomously acquire resources and improve their capabilities. Both Pro 1.0 and Ultra 1.0 failed to complete any tasks, but they completed several sub-tasks, suggesting they are close to having certain capabilities. 4. **Self-reasoning**: Evaluations assess the agents' ability to reason about themselves and their environment. The results indicate that while the agents have some self-reasoning capabilities, they are not yet strong enough to pose significant risks. The paper aims to provide a foundation for a rigorous science of dangerous capability evaluation, helping to ground policy and scientific discussions about AI risks. The evaluations are designed to be flexible and adaptable, with detailed descriptions of the methodology and results. The authors hope that their work will inspire further development and collaboration in this area.The paper introduces a comprehensive program of "dangerous capability" evaluations for frontier AI models, specifically targeting the Gemini 1.0 models. The evaluations cover four areas: persuasion and deception, cyber-security, self-proliferation, and self-reasoning. The goal is to advance a rigorous science of dangerous capability evaluation to help prepare for future models. 1. **Persuasion and Deception**: Evaluations involve human-AI dialogues to assess the agents' ability to influence beliefs and preferences. Pro 1.0 and Ultra 1.0 showed stronger capabilities compared to Nano 1.0, particularly in shifting participants' beliefs and manipulating them to click suspicious links or run code. 2. **Cyber-security**: Evaluations assess the agents' ability to execute cyberattacks and identify vulnerabilities. Pro 1.0 and Ultra 1.0 could solve basic CTF tasks but struggled with more complex, multi-step challenges, indicating limited autonomous attack capabilities. 3. **Self-proliferation**: Evaluations measure the agents' ability to autonomously acquire resources and improve their capabilities. Both Pro 1.0 and Ultra 1.0 failed to complete any tasks, but they completed several sub-tasks, suggesting they are close to having certain capabilities. 4. **Self-reasoning**: Evaluations assess the agents' ability to reason about themselves and their environment. The results indicate that while the agents have some self-reasoning capabilities, they are not yet strong enough to pose significant risks. The paper aims to provide a foundation for a rigorous science of dangerous capability evaluation, helping to ground policy and scientific discussions about AI risks. The evaluations are designed to be flexible and adaptable, with detailed descriptions of the methodology and results. The authors hope that their work will inspire further development and collaboration in this area.
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