Global Climatic Anomalies Associated with Extremes in the Southern Oscillation

Global Climatic Anomalies Associated with Extremes in the Southern Oscillation

SEPTEMBER 1989 | GEORGE N. KILADIS AND HENRY F. DIAZ
This study examines the global climatic anomalies associated with the Southern Oscillation (SO), focusing on temperature and precipitation anomalies during warm and cold events. Composite analyses of temperature and precipitation anomalies across hundreds of stations reveal significant, coherent signals in both extremes of the SO. Warm event signals are generally opposite to those during cold events, and climatic anomalies tend to be opposite in the year preceding an event (year -1) compared to the following year (year 0). These findings confirm the biennial tendency of the SO over the Pacific/Indian Ocean sectors, which is also present in more remote regions with climatic signals related to the SO. Many of the signals are consistent enough to be useful for extended range forecasting. The study uses station data to identify SO-related signals in temperature and precipitation over land and ship data from the Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set (COADS) to examine SST signals over the world oceans. The analysis reveals that regions with large, statistically significant signals during warm events have equally large signals of the opposite sign during cold events. This indicates that the global climate system tends toward two approximately inverse states with respect to the SO: one corresponding to anomalously high and the other to anomalously low SST in the eastern equatorial Pacific. The results show that the SO has a significant impact on temperature and precipitation patterns across various regions, including the Eurasian and American sectors. The study highlights the opposition of signals between warm and cold events, with the strongest anomalies occurring in the tropical Pacific and surrounding regions. The findings also suggest that the SO has a biennial tendency, with conditions reversing in the following year. The study concludes that the SO has a significant influence on global climate patterns, and that the signals identified can be useful for extended range forecasting. However, the study also notes that inter-event variability limits the usefulness of these signals for predictive purposes.This study examines the global climatic anomalies associated with the Southern Oscillation (SO), focusing on temperature and precipitation anomalies during warm and cold events. Composite analyses of temperature and precipitation anomalies across hundreds of stations reveal significant, coherent signals in both extremes of the SO. Warm event signals are generally opposite to those during cold events, and climatic anomalies tend to be opposite in the year preceding an event (year -1) compared to the following year (year 0). These findings confirm the biennial tendency of the SO over the Pacific/Indian Ocean sectors, which is also present in more remote regions with climatic signals related to the SO. Many of the signals are consistent enough to be useful for extended range forecasting. The study uses station data to identify SO-related signals in temperature and precipitation over land and ship data from the Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set (COADS) to examine SST signals over the world oceans. The analysis reveals that regions with large, statistically significant signals during warm events have equally large signals of the opposite sign during cold events. This indicates that the global climate system tends toward two approximately inverse states with respect to the SO: one corresponding to anomalously high and the other to anomalously low SST in the eastern equatorial Pacific. The results show that the SO has a significant impact on temperature and precipitation patterns across various regions, including the Eurasian and American sectors. The study highlights the opposition of signals between warm and cold events, with the strongest anomalies occurring in the tropical Pacific and surrounding regions. The findings also suggest that the SO has a biennial tendency, with conditions reversing in the following year. The study concludes that the SO has a significant influence on global climate patterns, and that the signals identified can be useful for extended range forecasting. However, the study also notes that inter-event variability limits the usefulness of these signals for predictive purposes.
Reach us at info@futurestudyspace.com