2024 | Martin Černý, Martin Bruckner, Jan Weinzettel, Kirsten Wiebe, Christian Kimmich, Christian Kerschner, Klaus Hubacek
The article "Global Employment and Skill Level Requirements for ‘Post-Carbon Europe’" by Černý et al. (2024) examines the impact of transitioning to 100% renewable energy on employment and skill levels in the electricity sector within the European Union (EU27 + UK). The study uses a multiregional input-output (MRIO) model to quantify the employment requirements associated with this transition, comparing a 100% renewables scenario with a reference scenario representing current energy and climate commitments. Key findings include:
1. **Employment Requirements**:
- The 100% renewables scenario significantly increases labor demand within the EU27 + UK, followed by Asia, Australia, and Latin America.
- The transition will particularly increase demand for medium- and high-skilled labor, while low-skilled labor may face the largest gap in availability.
- The construction and manufacturing sectors will see significant but temporary job gains.
2. **Skill Level and Gender**:
- High-skilled males are expected to experience the largest increase in employment, followed by medium-skilled males and high-skilled females.
- Low-skilled females are the least growing category in both scenarios.
- The transition will affect men more than women in most sectors.
3. **Sectoral Impact**:
- Sectors with strong links to capital formation, such as manufacturing and construction, will see the highest labor demand initially, peaking around 2025-2030.
- The electricity sector itself will experience the highest labor demand, with medium-skilled labor being the most in demand.
4. **Labor Intensity**:
- The 100% renewables scenario has higher labor intensity compared to the reference scenario, particularly in operation and maintenance (O&M) activities.
- However, by 2050, both scenarios settle at similar levels, suggesting that the transition may not be as labor-intensive as initially thought.
5. **Discussion**:
- The study highlights the need for informed labor and education policies to address potential bottlenecks in the transition to 100% renewable energy.
- It provides insights into the geographic distribution of labor demand and the skill levels required, which can inform policy decisions and workforce planning.
Overall, the study underscores the importance of a well-coordinated approach to ensure a smooth transition to a post-carbon economy, addressing both labor market adjustments and skill development.The article "Global Employment and Skill Level Requirements for ‘Post-Carbon Europe’" by Černý et al. (2024) examines the impact of transitioning to 100% renewable energy on employment and skill levels in the electricity sector within the European Union (EU27 + UK). The study uses a multiregional input-output (MRIO) model to quantify the employment requirements associated with this transition, comparing a 100% renewables scenario with a reference scenario representing current energy and climate commitments. Key findings include:
1. **Employment Requirements**:
- The 100% renewables scenario significantly increases labor demand within the EU27 + UK, followed by Asia, Australia, and Latin America.
- The transition will particularly increase demand for medium- and high-skilled labor, while low-skilled labor may face the largest gap in availability.
- The construction and manufacturing sectors will see significant but temporary job gains.
2. **Skill Level and Gender**:
- High-skilled males are expected to experience the largest increase in employment, followed by medium-skilled males and high-skilled females.
- Low-skilled females are the least growing category in both scenarios.
- The transition will affect men more than women in most sectors.
3. **Sectoral Impact**:
- Sectors with strong links to capital formation, such as manufacturing and construction, will see the highest labor demand initially, peaking around 2025-2030.
- The electricity sector itself will experience the highest labor demand, with medium-skilled labor being the most in demand.
4. **Labor Intensity**:
- The 100% renewables scenario has higher labor intensity compared to the reference scenario, particularly in operation and maintenance (O&M) activities.
- However, by 2050, both scenarios settle at similar levels, suggesting that the transition may not be as labor-intensive as initially thought.
5. **Discussion**:
- The study highlights the need for informed labor and education policies to address potential bottlenecks in the transition to 100% renewable energy.
- It provides insights into the geographic distribution of labor demand and the skill levels required, which can inform policy decisions and workforce planning.
Overall, the study underscores the importance of a well-coordinated approach to ensure a smooth transition to a post-carbon economy, addressing both labor market adjustments and skill development.