2006 | L. V. Alexander, X. Zhang, T. C. Peterson, J. Caesar, B. Gleason, A. M. G. Klein Tank, M. Haylock, D. Collins, B. Trewin, F. Rahimzadeh, A. Tagipour, K. Rupa Kumar, J. Revadekar, G. Griffiths, L. Vincent, D. B. Stephenson, J. Burn, E. Aguilar, M. Brunet, M. Taylor, M. New, P. Zhai, M. Rusticucci, J. L. Vazquez-Aguirre
The paper presents a comprehensive analysis of global changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation, focusing on extreme events. The authors developed a suite of climate change indices derived from daily temperature and precipitation data, using a standardized formula and software to ensure seamless integration of data from different countries. The indices were analyzed for the period 1951-2003, with seasonal and annual trends computed and tested for statistical significance.
Key findings include:
- Widespread significant changes in temperature extremes, particularly in minimum temperature indices, indicating a positive shift in the distribution of daily minimum temperatures.
- Over 70% of the global land area showed a significant decrease in the annual occurrence of cold nights and a significant increase in the annual occurrence of warm nights.
- Daily maximum temperature indices showed similar changes but with smaller magnitudes.
- Precipitation indices showed a widespread and significant increase, though less spatially coherent compared to temperature changes.
- Probability distributions of indices derived from approximately 200 temperature and 600 precipitation stations, covering a large region of the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes and parts of Australia, were analyzed for the periods 1901-1950, 1951-1978, and 1979-2003, indicating a significant warming throughout the 20th century.
- Differences in temperature indices distributions are particularly pronounced between the most recent two periods and for those indices related to minimum temperature.
- Precipitation indices show a tendency toward wetter conditions throughout the 20th century.
The study highlights the importance of using high-quality daily data and standardized methods to analyze climate change, providing a robust assessment of global climate extremes.The paper presents a comprehensive analysis of global changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation, focusing on extreme events. The authors developed a suite of climate change indices derived from daily temperature and precipitation data, using a standardized formula and software to ensure seamless integration of data from different countries. The indices were analyzed for the period 1951-2003, with seasonal and annual trends computed and tested for statistical significance.
Key findings include:
- Widespread significant changes in temperature extremes, particularly in minimum temperature indices, indicating a positive shift in the distribution of daily minimum temperatures.
- Over 70% of the global land area showed a significant decrease in the annual occurrence of cold nights and a significant increase in the annual occurrence of warm nights.
- Daily maximum temperature indices showed similar changes but with smaller magnitudes.
- Precipitation indices showed a widespread and significant increase, though less spatially coherent compared to temperature changes.
- Probability distributions of indices derived from approximately 200 temperature and 600 precipitation stations, covering a large region of the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes and parts of Australia, were analyzed for the periods 1901-1950, 1951-1978, and 1979-2003, indicating a significant warming throughout the 20th century.
- Differences in temperature indices distributions are particularly pronounced between the most recent two periods and for those indices related to minimum temperature.
- Precipitation indices show a tendency toward wetter conditions throughout the 20th century.
The study highlights the importance of using high-quality daily data and standardized methods to analyze climate change, providing a robust assessment of global climate extremes.