JOB DESTRUCTION AND PROPAGATION OF SHOCKS

JOB DESTRUCTION AND PROPAGATION OF SHOCKS

June 1997 | WOUTER J. DEN HAAN, GAREY RAMEY AND JOEL WATSON
The paper "Job Destruction and Propagation of Shocks" by Wouter den Haan, Gary Ramey, and Joel Watson explores the role of job destruction in amplifying and propagating economic shocks. The authors develop a dynamic general equilibrium model with labor market matching and an endogenous job destruction rate. The model is calibrated to match data on job creation and destruction, showing that job destruction plays a crucial role in explaining the cyclical variation of employment and output. Key findings include: 1. **Cyclical Job Destruction**: The model generates dynamic correlations between job creation, destruction, and employment, consistent with empirical observations. 2. **Shock Amplification**: Small productivity shocks can lead to large and persistent changes in output due to the job destruction rate. This is because job destruction increases when productivity shocks occur, leading to a larger output reduction. 3. **Capital Market Interactions**: The interactions between the labor and capital markets, mediated by the rental rate of capital, are central to the propagation of shocks. Costly capital adjustment further amplifies these effects. 4. **Empirical Fit**: The calibrated model closely matches empirical data on job flows and output volatility, providing a robust framework for understanding business cycles. The authors conclude that job destruction is a significant mechanism for propagating economic shocks, contributing to the persistence of output fluctuations. This contrasts with traditional RBC models, which often lack such persistence due to their focus on intertemporal substitution.The paper "Job Destruction and Propagation of Shocks" by Wouter den Haan, Gary Ramey, and Joel Watson explores the role of job destruction in amplifying and propagating economic shocks. The authors develop a dynamic general equilibrium model with labor market matching and an endogenous job destruction rate. The model is calibrated to match data on job creation and destruction, showing that job destruction plays a crucial role in explaining the cyclical variation of employment and output. Key findings include: 1. **Cyclical Job Destruction**: The model generates dynamic correlations between job creation, destruction, and employment, consistent with empirical observations. 2. **Shock Amplification**: Small productivity shocks can lead to large and persistent changes in output due to the job destruction rate. This is because job destruction increases when productivity shocks occur, leading to a larger output reduction. 3. **Capital Market Interactions**: The interactions between the labor and capital markets, mediated by the rental rate of capital, are central to the propagation of shocks. Costly capital adjustment further amplifies these effects. 4. **Empirical Fit**: The calibrated model closely matches empirical data on job flows and output volatility, providing a robust framework for understanding business cycles. The authors conclude that job destruction is a significant mechanism for propagating economic shocks, contributing to the persistence of output fluctuations. This contrasts with traditional RBC models, which often lack such persistence due to their focus on intertemporal substitution.
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