POWER LAWS IN ECONOMICS AND FINANCE

POWER LAWS IN ECONOMICS AND FINANCE

September 2008 | Xavier Gabaix
This paper by Xavier Gabaix explores the prevalence and theoretical underpinnings of power laws in economics and finance. Power laws, which describe empirical regularities in various economic and financial phenomena, are characterized by a scaling relationship of the form \( Y = kX^\alpha \), where \( Y \) and \( X \) are variables, \( \alpha \) is the power law exponent, and \( k \) is a constant. The paper reviews well-documented empirical power laws, including those concerning income and wealth, city and firm sizes, stock market returns, trading volume, international trade, and executive pay. The author discusses theoretical mechanisms that can explain the existence and coefficients of power laws without requiring delicate tuning of model parameters. These mechanisms include random growth, optimization, and the economics of superstars coupled with extreme value theory. The paper highlights that some empirical regularities lack a fully satisfactory explanation, pointing to areas for future research. Key topics covered include: 1. **Random Growth**: Proportional random growth leads to a power law distribution, with the exponent determined by the distribution of growth rates. 2. **Optimization and Superstars**: The economics of superstars, where the impact of a larger firm or audience is proportional to a power law function of its size, can generate power laws. 3. **Empirical Power Laws**: The paper evaluates various empirical power laws, such as Zipf's law for city sizes and CEO compensation, and discusses their theoretical underpinnings. 4. **Estimation and Testing**: Methods for estimating and testing power laws are discussed, including the use of Kesten processes and continuous-time models. The paper concludes by identifying open questions and areas for further research, emphasizing the need for robust, detail-independent explanations of power laws in economics and finance.This paper by Xavier Gabaix explores the prevalence and theoretical underpinnings of power laws in economics and finance. Power laws, which describe empirical regularities in various economic and financial phenomena, are characterized by a scaling relationship of the form \( Y = kX^\alpha \), where \( Y \) and \( X \) are variables, \( \alpha \) is the power law exponent, and \( k \) is a constant. The paper reviews well-documented empirical power laws, including those concerning income and wealth, city and firm sizes, stock market returns, trading volume, international trade, and executive pay. The author discusses theoretical mechanisms that can explain the existence and coefficients of power laws without requiring delicate tuning of model parameters. These mechanisms include random growth, optimization, and the economics of superstars coupled with extreme value theory. The paper highlights that some empirical regularities lack a fully satisfactory explanation, pointing to areas for future research. Key topics covered include: 1. **Random Growth**: Proportional random growth leads to a power law distribution, with the exponent determined by the distribution of growth rates. 2. **Optimization and Superstars**: The economics of superstars, where the impact of a larger firm or audience is proportional to a power law function of its size, can generate power laws. 3. **Empirical Power Laws**: The paper evaluates various empirical power laws, such as Zipf's law for city sizes and CEO compensation, and discusses their theoretical underpinnings. 4. **Estimation and Testing**: Methods for estimating and testing power laws are discussed, including the use of Kesten processes and continuous-time models. The paper concludes by identifying open questions and areas for further research, emphasizing the need for robust, detail-independent explanations of power laws in economics and finance.
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