The article "Quasi-Poisson vs. Negative Binomial Regression: How Should We Model Overdispersed Count Data?" by Jay M. Ver Hoef and Peter L. Boveng discusses the differences between quasi-Poisson and negative binomial regression models for modeling overdispersed count data. Both models have the same number of parameters but differ in their variance relationships: the variance of a quasi-Poisson model is a linear function of the mean, while the variance of a negative binomial model is a quadratic function of the mean. This difference affects the weights assigned to observations in the iterative weighted least-squares algorithm, leading to different estimates of covariate effects.
The authors provide an example using harbor seal counts from aerial surveys, where the counts are influenced by date, time of day, and tide. They show that the choice between quasi-Poisson and negative binomial regression can have significant implications for estimating abundance, particularly for smaller sites. The negative binomial model gives smaller sites more weight, which can lead to different abundance estimates compared to the quasi-Poisson model.
The article concludes that there is no general rule for which model is better, but the choice should be guided by scientific reasoning and the specific characteristics of the data. Diagnostic plots and understanding the weighting differences between the models can help ecologists make informed decisions when choosing between these two methods.The article "Quasi-Poisson vs. Negative Binomial Regression: How Should We Model Overdispersed Count Data?" by Jay M. Ver Hoef and Peter L. Boveng discusses the differences between quasi-Poisson and negative binomial regression models for modeling overdispersed count data. Both models have the same number of parameters but differ in their variance relationships: the variance of a quasi-Poisson model is a linear function of the mean, while the variance of a negative binomial model is a quadratic function of the mean. This difference affects the weights assigned to observations in the iterative weighted least-squares algorithm, leading to different estimates of covariate effects.
The authors provide an example using harbor seal counts from aerial surveys, where the counts are influenced by date, time of day, and tide. They show that the choice between quasi-Poisson and negative binomial regression can have significant implications for estimating abundance, particularly for smaller sites. The negative binomial model gives smaller sites more weight, which can lead to different abundance estimates compared to the quasi-Poisson model.
The article concludes that there is no general rule for which model is better, but the choice should be guided by scientific reasoning and the specific characteristics of the data. Diagnostic plots and understanding the weighting differences between the models can help ecologists make informed decisions when choosing between these two methods.