Sensitivity analysis of environmental models: A systematic review with practical workflow

Sensitivity analysis of environmental models: A systematic review with practical workflow

18 February 2016 | Francesca Pianosi, Keith Beven, Jim Freer, Jim W. Hall, Jonathan Rougier, David B. Stephenson, Thorsten Wagener
This paper provides a comprehensive review of Sensitivity Analysis (SA) in environmental modeling, aiming to offer a systematic classification of SA methods and practical guidelines for their application. SA is a crucial tool for understanding how variations in model inputs affect outputs, and it is widely used for uncertainty assessment, model calibration, diagnostic evaluation, and robust decision-making. The authors define key concepts such as input factors, output variables, and different types of SA (local vs. global, quantitative vs. qualitative, one-at-a-time vs. all-at-a-time). They also discuss the connections between SA and other methodologies like uncertainty analysis, model calibration, and emulators. The paper is divided into three main sections: an introduction to SA, a systematic review of SA methods, and a discussion of a practical workflow for applying SA. The review covers five broad classes of SA methods based on computational complexity and purpose, including perturbation and derivatives methods, multiple-start perturbation methods, correlation and regression analysis methods, regional sensitivity analysis, and variance-based methods. Each method is described in terms of its underlying principles, advantages, and limitations. The paper emphasizes the importance of computational complexity and provides a classification system to guide users in selecting the most appropriate method for their specific needs.This paper provides a comprehensive review of Sensitivity Analysis (SA) in environmental modeling, aiming to offer a systematic classification of SA methods and practical guidelines for their application. SA is a crucial tool for understanding how variations in model inputs affect outputs, and it is widely used for uncertainty assessment, model calibration, diagnostic evaluation, and robust decision-making. The authors define key concepts such as input factors, output variables, and different types of SA (local vs. global, quantitative vs. qualitative, one-at-a-time vs. all-at-a-time). They also discuss the connections between SA and other methodologies like uncertainty analysis, model calibration, and emulators. The paper is divided into three main sections: an introduction to SA, a systematic review of SA methods, and a discussion of a practical workflow for applying SA. The review covers five broad classes of SA methods based on computational complexity and purpose, including perturbation and derivatives methods, multiple-start perturbation methods, correlation and regression analysis methods, regional sensitivity analysis, and variance-based methods. Each method is described in terms of its underlying principles, advantages, and limitations. The paper emphasizes the importance of computational complexity and provides a classification system to guide users in selecting the most appropriate method for their specific needs.
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[slides and audio] Sensitivity analysis of environmental models%3A A systematic review with practical workflow