2013 June 19; 309(23): 2473–2479 | Anette G. Ziegler, MD, Marian Rewers, MD, PhD, Olli Simell, MD, PhD, Tuula Simell, MPH, PhD, Johanna Lempainen, MD, PhD, Andrea Steck, MD, Christiane Winkler, PhD, Jorma Ilonen, MD, PhD, Riitta Veijola, MD, PhD, Mikael Knip, MD, PhD, Ezio Bonifacio, PhD, and George S. Eisenbarth, MD, PhD
This study aimed to determine the rate of progression to diabetes after seroconversion to islet autoantibodies in children at risk for type 1 diabetes. Data from three prospective cohort studies in Colorado, Finland, and Germany were pooled to analyze the development of insulin autoantibodies, glutamic acid decarboxylase 65 (GAD65) autoantibodies, insulinoma antigen 2 (IA2) autoantibodies, and diabetes. The primary analysis focused on children with multiple islet autoantibodies, while a secondary analysis included children with a single autoantibody or no autoantibodies.
Key findings include:
- 585 children with multiple islet autoantibodies had a 69.7% risk of progressing to diabetes within 10 years, compared to 14.5% for those with a single autoantibody.
- The risk was significantly higher in children with multiple autoantibodies (79.1% at 15 years) compared to those with no autoantibodies (0.4%).
- Progression was faster in children who seroconverted before age 3 years, had the HLA genotype *DR3/DR4-DQ8*, or were female.
- The study highlights the need for interventions to prevent or delay the development of multiple islet autoantibodies and progression to type 1 diabetes.This study aimed to determine the rate of progression to diabetes after seroconversion to islet autoantibodies in children at risk for type 1 diabetes. Data from three prospective cohort studies in Colorado, Finland, and Germany were pooled to analyze the development of insulin autoantibodies, glutamic acid decarboxylase 65 (GAD65) autoantibodies, insulinoma antigen 2 (IA2) autoantibodies, and diabetes. The primary analysis focused on children with multiple islet autoantibodies, while a secondary analysis included children with a single autoantibody or no autoantibodies.
Key findings include:
- 585 children with multiple islet autoantibodies had a 69.7% risk of progressing to diabetes within 10 years, compared to 14.5% for those with a single autoantibody.
- The risk was significantly higher in children with multiple autoantibodies (79.1% at 15 years) compared to those with no autoantibodies (0.4%).
- Progression was faster in children who seroconverted before age 3 years, had the HLA genotype *DR3/DR4-DQ8*, or were female.
- The study highlights the need for interventions to prevent or delay the development of multiple islet autoantibodies and progression to type 1 diabetes.