2024 | Daniel Racek, Brittany I. Davidson, Paul W. Thurner, Xiao Xiang Zhu, Göran Kauermann
The study examines the use of language on social media by Ukrainian citizens before and during the Russian invasion of Ukraine, analyzing 4,453,341 geo-tagged tweets from 62,712 users from January 2020 to October 2022. The research uses statistical models to disentangle sample effects (user flux) from behavioral changes (user behavior). Key findings include:
1. **Language Shift Before the War**: A steady shift from Russian to Ukrainian language use was observed before the war, with the probability of tweeting in Ukrainian rising from 33% to 48%.
2. **Behavioral Changes During the War**: The shift accelerated with the outbreak of the war in February 2022. The probability of tweeting in Ukrainian increased to 76%, driven by both Russian users leaving and Ukrainian users joining, as well as a significant behavioral change (+249% in odds to tweet in Ukrainian).
3. **User Turnover**: User turnover played a role in the shift, with a decline in Russian tweets due to users leaving and an increase in Ukrainian tweets due to new users joining.
4. **Language Proportions**: A substantial number of users switched from Russian to Ukrainian, with over half of Russian-tweeting users switching to Ukrainian after the war began.
5. **User Characteristics**: Users who switched from Russian to Ukrainian had more followers, higher tweet and like frequencies, and published more geo-tagged tweets about Ukraine.
6. **Topic Modelling**: Multilingual topic modelling revealed that users who switched languages were more likely to discuss war-related topics, but this difference diminished when controlling for total tweet volume.
The findings suggest that the use of Ukrainian language on social media reflects a conscious choice by users to express a more Ukrainian identity and self-definition, particularly in response to the Russian invasion.The study examines the use of language on social media by Ukrainian citizens before and during the Russian invasion of Ukraine, analyzing 4,453,341 geo-tagged tweets from 62,712 users from January 2020 to October 2022. The research uses statistical models to disentangle sample effects (user flux) from behavioral changes (user behavior). Key findings include:
1. **Language Shift Before the War**: A steady shift from Russian to Ukrainian language use was observed before the war, with the probability of tweeting in Ukrainian rising from 33% to 48%.
2. **Behavioral Changes During the War**: The shift accelerated with the outbreak of the war in February 2022. The probability of tweeting in Ukrainian increased to 76%, driven by both Russian users leaving and Ukrainian users joining, as well as a significant behavioral change (+249% in odds to tweet in Ukrainian).
3. **User Turnover**: User turnover played a role in the shift, with a decline in Russian tweets due to users leaving and an increase in Ukrainian tweets due to new users joining.
4. **Language Proportions**: A substantial number of users switched from Russian to Ukrainian, with over half of Russian-tweeting users switching to Ukrainian after the war began.
5. **User Characteristics**: Users who switched from Russian to Ukrainian had more followers, higher tweet and like frequencies, and published more geo-tagged tweets about Ukraine.
6. **Topic Modelling**: Multilingual topic modelling revealed that users who switched languages were more likely to discuss war-related topics, but this difference diminished when controlling for total tweet volume.
The findings suggest that the use of Ukrainian language on social media reflects a conscious choice by users to express a more Ukrainian identity and self-definition, particularly in response to the Russian invasion.