September 2003 | KEVIN E. TRENBERTH, AIGUO DAI, ROY M. RASMUSSEN, AND DAVID B. PARSONS
The article discusses the changing characteristics of precipitation as climate changes, emphasizing the importance of understanding how precipitation intensity, frequency, and duration are affected. It highlights that while the basic mechanisms for causing air to rise remain consistent, the relative importance of these mechanisms can change over time. The formation of precipitation involves cloud droplet growth and freezing, which are influenced by factors such as aerosols and pollutants. The availability of moisture is crucial for precipitation, and changes in moisture sources and transport can significantly affect precipitation patterns.
The article also discusses the role of atmospheric moisture in precipitation, noting that the global average precipitation rate is much higher than the average moisture availability. This discrepancy highlights the importance of moisture location and the need for accurate measurement and tracking of moisture availability. The diurnal cycle of precipitation is particularly pronounced in the United States, with late afternoon maxima in the Southeast and Rocky Mountains, and midnight maxima in the region east of the Rockies. However, many models fail to accurately simulate this cycle.
The article further explores the impact of atmospheric circulation changes on precipitation, noting that natural modes of atmospheric circulation, such as the North Atlantic Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation, can influence precipitation patterns. Trends in atmospheric moisture and extreme precipitation events show an increase in precipitable water and relative humidity in many regions, which can lead to more intense rainfall events. However, the relationship between moisture and precipitation is complex, and changes in precipitation characteristics may be more significant than changes in total precipitation amounts.
The article concludes that improved understanding and modeling of precipitation characteristics are essential for accurate climate predictions and effective water resource management. This includes better documentation and processing of precipitation data, improved parameterization of convection in large-scale models, and enhanced observations and modeling of moisture sources and sinks. The International H2O Project (IHOP 2002) is highlighted as an initiative aimed at improving the understanding of water vapor variability and its impact on precipitation. The article emphasizes the need for a hierarchical approach to model development, incorporating single-column models, cloud-resolving models, and global atmospheric models, to better simulate the diurnal cycle of precipitation and its associated processes.The article discusses the changing characteristics of precipitation as climate changes, emphasizing the importance of understanding how precipitation intensity, frequency, and duration are affected. It highlights that while the basic mechanisms for causing air to rise remain consistent, the relative importance of these mechanisms can change over time. The formation of precipitation involves cloud droplet growth and freezing, which are influenced by factors such as aerosols and pollutants. The availability of moisture is crucial for precipitation, and changes in moisture sources and transport can significantly affect precipitation patterns.
The article also discusses the role of atmospheric moisture in precipitation, noting that the global average precipitation rate is much higher than the average moisture availability. This discrepancy highlights the importance of moisture location and the need for accurate measurement and tracking of moisture availability. The diurnal cycle of precipitation is particularly pronounced in the United States, with late afternoon maxima in the Southeast and Rocky Mountains, and midnight maxima in the region east of the Rockies. However, many models fail to accurately simulate this cycle.
The article further explores the impact of atmospheric circulation changes on precipitation, noting that natural modes of atmospheric circulation, such as the North Atlantic Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation, can influence precipitation patterns. Trends in atmospheric moisture and extreme precipitation events show an increase in precipitable water and relative humidity in many regions, which can lead to more intense rainfall events. However, the relationship between moisture and precipitation is complex, and changes in precipitation characteristics may be more significant than changes in total precipitation amounts.
The article concludes that improved understanding and modeling of precipitation characteristics are essential for accurate climate predictions and effective water resource management. This includes better documentation and processing of precipitation data, improved parameterization of convection in large-scale models, and enhanced observations and modeling of moisture sources and sinks. The International H2O Project (IHOP 2002) is highlighted as an initiative aimed at improving the understanding of water vapor variability and its impact on precipitation. The article emphasizes the need for a hierarchical approach to model development, incorporating single-column models, cloud-resolving models, and global atmospheric models, to better simulate the diurnal cycle of precipitation and its associated processes.