Universally Sloppy Parameter Sensitivities in Systems Biology Models

Universally Sloppy Parameter Sensitivities in Systems Biology Models

October 25, 2018 | Ryan N. Gutenkunst, Joshua J. Waterfall, Fergal P. Casey, Kevin S. Brown, Christopher R. Myers, and James P. Sethna
The paper "Universally Sloppy Parameter Sensitivities in Systems Biology Models" by Ryan N. Gutenkunst et al. explores the challenges of parameter estimation in systems biology models, particularly the issue of "slopiness." Sloppiness refers to the phenomenon where the behavior of a model is insensitive to many parameter combinations, leading to large uncertainties in parameter estimates even when the model fits experimental data well. The authors analyze 17 systems biology models from the literature and find that all of them exhibit sloppy parameter sensitivity spectra, with eigenvalues spanning many decades and not aligned with single parameters. They argue that this sloppiness makes it difficult to extract precise parameter values from collective fits, even with extensive time-series data. Direct parameter measurements must be both highly precise and complete to constrain model predictions effectively. The study highlights the importance of focusing on predictions rather than parameter values and suggests that collective fits can yield tight predictions with loose parameter constraints. The results have implications for experimental design and model building in systems biology, emphasizing the need for a more flexible and predictive approach to modeling complex biological systems.The paper "Universally Sloppy Parameter Sensitivities in Systems Biology Models" by Ryan N. Gutenkunst et al. explores the challenges of parameter estimation in systems biology models, particularly the issue of "slopiness." Sloppiness refers to the phenomenon where the behavior of a model is insensitive to many parameter combinations, leading to large uncertainties in parameter estimates even when the model fits experimental data well. The authors analyze 17 systems biology models from the literature and find that all of them exhibit sloppy parameter sensitivity spectra, with eigenvalues spanning many decades and not aligned with single parameters. They argue that this sloppiness makes it difficult to extract precise parameter values from collective fits, even with extensive time-series data. Direct parameter measurements must be both highly precise and complete to constrain model predictions effectively. The study highlights the importance of focusing on predictions rather than parameter values and suggests that collective fits can yield tight predictions with loose parameter constraints. The results have implications for experimental design and model building in systems biology, emphasizing the need for a more flexible and predictive approach to modeling complex biological systems.
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