The article examines the impact of global climate change on armed conflict in sub-Saharan Africa, finding strong historical links between civil war and temperature. Warmer years are associated with a significant increase in the likelihood of civil war. Using historical data and climate model projections, the authors predict a 54% increase in armed conflict incidence by 2030, potentially leading to an additional 393,000 battle deaths if future wars are as deadly as recent ones. The study suggests that urgent policy reforms are needed to address rising temperatures, particularly in African governments and foreign aid donors. The findings highlight the direct role of temperature in shaping conflict risk and the need for strategies to improve agricultural resilience and implement insurance schemes to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change.The article examines the impact of global climate change on armed conflict in sub-Saharan Africa, finding strong historical links between civil war and temperature. Warmer years are associated with a significant increase in the likelihood of civil war. Using historical data and climate model projections, the authors predict a 54% increase in armed conflict incidence by 2030, potentially leading to an additional 393,000 battle deaths if future wars are as deadly as recent ones. The study suggests that urgent policy reforms are needed to address rising temperatures, particularly in African governments and foreign aid donors. The findings highlight the direct role of temperature in shaping conflict risk and the need for strategies to improve agricultural resilience and implement insurance schemes to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change.